Tropical Weather Outlook 8-22-23

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Aug 22 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located over the east-central Caribbean Sea, on 
Tropical Depression Gert, located a few hundred miles 
east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on recently 
upgraded Tropical Storm Harold, located over the western Gulf of 
Mexico.

1. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles 
west of the Cabo Verde Islands are associated with a tropical wave. 
Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for gradual 
development of this system, and a tropical depression could form 
later this week while it moves west-northwestward across the 
eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

2. Central Tropical Atlantic:
The remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily are located over the 
central tropical Atlantic several hundred miles east-northeast of 
the Leeward Islands with limited associated shower activity.  
Environmental conditions could become more conducive for 
re-development of this system late this week or this weekend when 
the system moves northward over the subtropical central Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued under WMO 
header WTNT34 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT4.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Nine are issued 
under WMO header WTNT24 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT4.

Forecaster Roberts