Tropical Weather Outlook 8-21-23

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 21 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located over the eastern Caribbean Sea, on Tropical 
Storm Gert, located several hundred miles east-southeast of the 
northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Emily, located a 
little over 1100 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.

1. Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization 
in association with a broad area of low pressure located over the 
central Gulf of Mexico.  Environmental conditions appear conducive 
for development of this system, and a tropical depression or 
tropical storm is likely to form before it reaches the western Gulf 
of Mexico coastline on Tuesday. Interests in southern Texas and 
northern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system as 
tropical storm watches or warnings are likely to be issued later 
today.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms over the Cabo Verde Islands and portions 
of the tropical eastern Atlantic are associated with a tropical 
wave. Environmental conditions appear generally conducive for 
gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is 
likely to form later this week while it moves west-northwestward 
across the eastern tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO 
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Emily are issued under WMO 
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO 
header WTNT33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT3.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Franklin are issued under WMO 
header WTNT23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT3.

Forecaster Cangialosi