Tropical Weather Outlook – 24 August 23

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 24 2023

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical 
Storm Franklin, located just east of the Turks and Caicos. 

1. Central Subtropical Atlantic (Remnants of Emily):
An area of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast of 
Bermuda (the remnants of former Tropical Storm Emily) continues to 
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. 
Upper-level winds are forecast to become more conducive for 
development later today, and this system is likely to regenerate 
into a tropical storm by Friday while the system moves northward 
over the subtropical central Atlantic. For additional information on 
this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued 
by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

2. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with 
an area of low pressure located several hundred miles west of the 
Cabo Verde Islands.  Despite marginal environmental conditions, 
slow development is possible and the low could become a tropical 
depression by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward 
to northwestward into the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

3. Northwestern Caribbean Sea:
An area of low pressure could form in a couple of days over the 
northwestern Caribbean Sea.  Some gradual development of this system 
is possible over the weekend and early next week, and a tropical 
depression could form while it moves slowly northward across the 
eastern Gulf of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be 
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and 
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Forecaster Bucci